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Employer ServicesADP National Employment Report Shows United States Added
Nonfarm Private Employment Highlights - July Report: -- Total employment: +48,000 -- Small businesses* +44,000 -- Medium businesses** +17,000 -- Large businesses*** -13,000 -- Goods-producing sector: -41,000 -- Service-providing sector: +89,000 "Nonfarm private employment grew 48,000 from June to July of 2007 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report," said Joel Prakken, Chairman of Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC. "This month's ADP National Employment Report suggests a deceleration of employment. The three-month average change in nonfarm private employment from May to July is 96,000, which is very close to the ADP Report's year-to-date average monthly employment change of 91,000." Prakken added, "Employment in the service-providing sector of the economy grew a moderate 89,000, while employment in the goods-producing sector declined 41,000. This marks the eighth consecutive monthly decline in the goods-producing sector. Employment in the manufacturing sector declined by 23,000." "Small- and medium-size businesses more than accounted for the increase in total employment this month, with employment among these businesses advancing by 61,000. In contrast, employment among large businesses fell by 13,000 in July, the second consecutive monthly decline. The gains in employment at small- and medium-size businesses were concentrated in the service-providing sector of the economy, which showed a gain of 85,000. However, employment among these same-size businesses in the good-producing sector fell 24,000," said Prakken. The matched sample used to develop the ADP National Employment Report was derived from ADP data which, during the first six months of 2007, averaged approximately 383,000 payrolls representing nearly 23 million U.S. employees. This approximately represents the size of the matched sample used this month. Goods-Producing Sector Nonfarm private employment in the goods-producing sector decreased by 41,000 in July, according to the ADP National Employment Report. -- Small businesses -7,000
-- Medium businesses -17,000
-- Large businesses -17,000
Service-Providing Sector Nonfarm private employment in the service-providing sector increased by 89,000 in July, according to the ADP National Employment Report. -- Small businesses +51,000
-- Medium businesses +34,000
-- Large businesses +4,000
Company Size Total nonfarm private employment in the United States increased in small- and medium-size businesses and decreased in large-size businesses in July, according to the ADP National Employment Report. -- Small businesses +44,000
-- Medium businesses +17,000
-- Large businesses -13,000
Interpreting the Report The forecasts of total nonfarm private employment, as well as nonfarm private employment by industry sector and company size are represented as both a monthly employment level and a monthly change in employment. The employment level represents the number of nonfarm private jobs in the U.S. economy at a common point in time each month. The change in monthly employment represents the increase or decrease in employment between these common points in time in two consecutive months. To obtain additional information about the ADP National Employment Report including supporting data and the schedule of future release dates, or to subscribe to the monthly e-mail alerts and RSS feeds, please visit www.ADPemploymentreport.com. The August 2007 ADP National Employment Report will be released on Wednesday, September 5, 2007 at 8:15 a.m. EDT. About the ADP National Employment Report(SM) The ADP National Employment Report, sponsored by ADP®, was developed and is maintained by Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC. It is a measure of employment derived from an anonymous subset of roughly 500,000 U.S. business clients. During the first six months of 2007, this subset represented approximately 383,000 U.S. business clients and nearly 23 million U.S. employees working in all private industrial sectors. The data is collected for pay periods that can be interpolated to include the week of the 12th of each month, and processed with statistical methodologies similar to those used by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics to compute employment from its monthly survey of establishments. Due to this processing, this subset is modified to make it indicative of national employment levels; therefore, the resulting employment changes computed for the ADP National Employment Report are not representative of changes in ADP's total base of U.S. business clients. Empirical analysis performed by Macroeconomic Advisers suggests that the ADP National Employment Report can be used to develop a forecast of "true" employment that is superior to those resulting from consensus estimates, survey data, or other models of employment that do not incorporate the results of the ADP Report. For a description of the underlying data and the statistical properties of the series, please see "ADP National Employment Report: Development Methodology" at http://ADPemployment report.com/methodology.aspx. About ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NYSE: ADP), with nearly $8 billion in revenues and more than 570,000 clients, is one of the world's largest providers of business outsourcing solutions. Leveraging more than 55 years of experience, ADP offers the widest range of HR, payroll, tax and benefits administration solutions from a single source. ADP's cost-effective, easy-to-use solutions for employers provide superior value to companies of all types and sizes. ADP is also a leading provider of integrated computing solutions to auto, truck, motorcycle, marine and recreational vehicle dealers throughout the world. For more information about ADP or to contact a local ADP sales office, reach us at 1.800.225.5237 or visit the company's Web site at www.ADP.com. About Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC (MA) has been the most trusted source for U.S. macroeconomic forecasts and commentary, monetary and fiscal policy analysis, and econometric modeling for 25 years. MA's clients include leading financial service firms, nonfinancial corporations, key policymaking agencies of the U.S. government, as well as State and Foreign Government agencies. Additional information on Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC is available on the company's Web site, www.MacroAdvisers.com. The ADP National Employment Report is a trademark and service mark of ADP of North America, Inc. ### |
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